How do Standards effect the excess of appraisers? The excess of appraisers is cyclical. It persists by the five forces of friction: practices, standards education, regulation, and client expectation. In this blog issue, we consider the second friction (appraisal standards). Together and separately these prevent improvements in valuation, including additional services of risk measurement, forecasting, […]
A valuation model may not be a model valuation. What happened with that sentence? It’s called “equivocation.” Something I learned about in my college English class. What I learned is that a word can be used for different meanings. Equivocation can be used to make language more colorful – to entice, to irritate, or to […]
How can we fix the excess of appraisers? Easy — we do what we have always done, each time . . . 1) We will raise the standards (“cost of entry”). 2) We will make it harder to become an appraiser; 3) Lower fees will discourage newcomer appraisers. Each cycle, the ‘appraiser shortage’ cycles with […]
Yes, personal bias in appraisals can be eliminated. The appraisal ‘process’, in its current standard, is “loose.” It is not internally biased either way. But it is vulnerable to systemic human and analytic bias. It enables and conceals bias. It is vulnerable to attack — as being “too high” or “too low,” depending on the […]
Judgment in valuation analysis is not needed — so they say — so long as the algorithm is right. So long as the algorithm is right . . . For appraisers, this means the valuer has identified a good scope of work. For a researcher, this means an investigation path is identified – a hypothesis. […]
How can we fix the excess of appraisers? Easy — we do what we have always done, each time . . . 1) We will raise the standards (“cost of entry”). 2) We will make it harder to become an appraiser; 3) Let the lower fees discourage newcomer appraisers. In past issues of the Analogue […]
Bias and prejudice are always relevant topics. Recently these have received more attention. In asking the questions we present in the Analogue Blog, we find that three concepts/actions produce the greatest response, to create divisiveness and deepening anger in an argument. The three concepts of ignorant argument: 1) use the word “bias,” badly; 2) state […]
The neighborhood section of appraisal reports is pretty much protocol. We have asked how a report on the neighborhood may or may not contribute to valuation value or reliability (risk) estimates. We continue to consider how traditional practice helps or hinders adoption of modern process technologies. As always, we have found it is important to […]
Market area, District, Neighborhood – what do our directives say? Let’s take a look at standards, education, regulations, and the GSE (Government Sponsored Enterprises). First, let’s set a goal: What is the ideal comparable data to analyze? How big, how similar, and how competitive should it be? Read Part I and Part II of Do […]
Diversity can be a goal in itself when diversity means breaking down barriers of groupthink and apathy. An expansive concept. Fairness, on the other hand is elusive, demanding definition. Fairness depends on the very point of view it attempts to define. “Fair” is in the eye of the beholder. EBV (Evidence Based Valuation)© (or EBA, […]
The current residential form (the URAR) neighborhood section is well designed – for data the way it was 40 years ago, filled in on a typewriter, with no software ability to summarize, graph, or map data. Do We Need a Neighborhood Section? Part I is here. As complete market data was rarely available, (and difficult […]
Traditional appraisal says we should describe and analyze the subject neighborhood. In residential form reports, there is a section devoted to the neighborhood. In general narrative reports, there is a section devoted to the neighborhood. In fact, often there is great discourse about the town, the city, and greater things. We have often heard criticism […]
EBV measures markets, rather than compares comps. In the traditional appraisal process, the appraiser ‘picks some comps’, then adjusts any differences in each comparable to the subject feature. In EBV (Evidence Based Valuation©), the analyst identifies all the competitive sales, then applies predictive algorithms. Which system is more USPAP compliant? Which system is more accurate? […]
The messenger. Psychology research easily points out our tendency to dislike the bearer of bad news. It’s also intuitive. Bad news messengers do not smile when they bring the news. Sometimes they even look guilty. We humans can be really basic. We see a correlation between the bad news, the frown, and the messenger. Appraisers […]
Bias is a much used and misused word. Variance too has more than one meaning. Words rule. Words trigger our thoughts, our feelings, and our opinions. Bias itself can mean different things. It can mean different things to different people. And it can mean different things to the same person, depending on context. Bias can […]
